Out-Law Analysis | 24 Nov 2020 | 2:02 pm | 4 min. read
The combined balance sheet strength of a JV-driven project is likely to appeal to contractors dealing with financial constraints in the aftermath of the pandemic. Investors are also likely to turn to emerging markets seeking higher returns, where they will benefit from local partners.
Our guide to delivering infrastructure projects through joint ventures provides a tool kit for the successful design and operation of JVs. The evidence suggests that more needs to be done to improve the way JVs operate to deliver infrastructure projects.
The global construction sector experienced a slowdown in growth to 2.1% during 2019 prior to the pandemic recording its slowest rate of expansion since 2010. The slowdown was focused on industrial output and trade across advanced nations and particularly North America. Air freight, for example, fell in both 2018 and 2019 as freight volumes shrank in 2019 in all global regions other than Africa, according to the International Air Traffic Association (IATA).
Global Business Consultant
Investment-driven sectors including construction will lead rather than lag the economic recovery, and massive monetary stimulus by central banks around the world means that credit conditions will remain very accommodating for the foreseeable future.
The coronavirus pandemic began just as construction markets were showing positive signs of a rebound in early 2020. By the middle of 2020, the global economy had shrunk by 10% relative to its level just prior to the pandemic - far larger than the 2008 global financial crisis, where the global economy shrank by 1.1% in the year.
Although news is beginning to emerge of the effectiveness of the vaccines under development, the UK and larger European economies are back in various states of lockdown dealing with the pandemic while the US struggles with record numbers of confirmed cases. Permanent and substantive removal of pandemic restrictions globally is only likely to begin from mid-2021 onwards.
China has emerged from the first wave of the pandemic earliest, and its economy saw a robust rebound in growth. Construction is expected to recover fastest in China, to recover to pre-pandemic levels by early 2021.
Although maintaining social distancing on construction sites is not easy it is more practical than in many other industries, and in many countries construction is seen as an essential industry to work through the pandemic. Construction demand is also less influenced by consumer spending than many other sectors that have suffered the greatest damage from the pandemic.
Investment-driven sectors including construction will lead rather than lag the economic recovery, and massive monetary stimulus by central banks around the world means that credit conditions will remain very accommodating for the foreseeable future. This is an important factor for financing construction projects.
Research shows that policy responses at a country level during previous modern pandemics, such as SARS and H1N1, can really influence economic performance and larger responses lead to a much lower loss in economic output five years on from the year of the outbreak. A lower policy response leads to a significant worsening of economic performance five years on.
Partner, Head of Office, Hong Kong
The combined balance sheet strength of a JV-driven project is likely to appeal to contractors dealing with financial constraints in the aftermath of the pandemic.
The research shows that spending increases are much more effective than tax cuts in supporting real growth - a crucial point, as a high percentage of fiscal spending goes into infrastructure which boosts productivity and economic performance in the longer term. This can be seen in economic infrastructure such as roads, rail, ports and airports; energy assets that enable efficient production and transportation of goods to end markets; and social infrastructure such as hospitals and schools.
In an economic upturn, we would expect to see higher growth in the formation of new JVs or the extension of existing JVs as spending drives new infrastructure projects. The reasons vary from market entry and targeting higher growth markets to combining specific technologies and capabilities or combining capacity and financial strength.
The main reasons why JVs are formed are considered fully in our guide, and are many and varied. The important point is that the infrastructure sector and its clients need to make a significant shift from bringing together JVs for capacity reasons to building coalitions of the best capability to deliver complex and innovative infrastructure projects. These infrastructure projects will form a key part of leading the world in recovery from the pandemic, and therefore designing for success is crucial in mobilising every dollar of stimulus spending and investment.
The nascent market in off-site manufacturing will become an explosive growth market, and key to improving productivity.
Improving productivity in the construction sector is vital. Construction productivity has remained virtually stagnant for decades, according to McKinsey; while productivity in the manufacturing sector has nearly doubled over the same period. To improve productivity, JVs will need to embrace:
Join a panel of Pinsent Masons experts for our webinar Joint Ventures Delivery of Infrastructure Projects on 2 December.
24 Jun 2020
25 Feb 2020